Working Papers
▶ Sectoral vs. Firm-Level Sanctions in Trade Policy [Job Market Paper]
This paper investigates the positive and normative implications of switching the types in sanction designs. I document a new empirical fact: in recent years, sanctions have increasingly targeted specific firms rather than entire sectors. I show that this shift is driven primarily by structural practices in how sanctions are imposed, rather than by geopolitical factors. To understand the rationale behind this shift, I develop a quantitative two-country model of heterogeneous firms that source inputs from both locations and compete oligopolistically in the final good markets. Sanctions can affect a firm's export access, its sourcing, or both simultaneously: in the first case, the sanction closes off access to the export market, while in the second, it raises the firm's production costs by forcing it to source a more expensive input bundle. The results show that firm-level sanctions split the burden between the sanctioning and target economies, whereas sectoral-level sanctions place most of the burden on the target economy. This difference is driven mainly by the demand-side component of the sanction, as the supply-side component has little impact on either economy's welfare.
▶ The Extraterritoriality of Smart Sanctions
This paper presents the Firms Sanctioned DataBase (FSDB), a novel dataset documenting all firms and entities sanctioned by the European Union since 2001. The FSDB details the timeline of sanctions and the exact addresses of every targets inside of sanction programs (e.g., Iran, Russia). Using this granular dataset, I characterize anticipations and location of targets, and study how they affect the identification of the impact of sanctions on disaggregated bilateral trade flows. I find that extraterritorial sanctions decreased flows of firms' sanctioned products by 38%. The estimate is similar when solely accounting for the staggered enforcement, with an higher variance though. Ignoring the staggered enforcement of sanctions considerably biases the estimate.
Work in Progress
- The Determinants of the Success Rate of Firm-Level Sanctions

